Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 4.498172 5.046445 5.643794 6.344318 7.145063 8.033805 9.097675
2025-01-12 3.646687 4.364008 5.204745 6.268125 7.584610 9.170408 11.239463
2025-01-19 2.976199 3.731231 4.664355 5.912300 7.552506 9.655393 12.588840
2025-01-26 2.648720 3.451194 4.487779 5.940946 7.951071 10.671260 14.695612
2025-02-02 2.457637 3.311686 4.458480 6.134651 8.561887 12.011273 17.397547
2025-02-09 2.277619 3.159900 4.385291 6.243303 9.045536 13.206636 20.030975
2025-02-16 2.118316 3.016254 4.301659 6.316325 9.469435 14.344412 22.712535
2025-02-23 1.980737 2.887811 4.222628 6.379500 9.873098 15.482358 25.535065
2025-03-02 1.803214 2.682235 4.006517 6.203008 9.867796 15.948401 27.266337
2025-03-09 1.672620 2.536105 3.866606 6.129722 10.015873 16.674190 29.539036
2025-03-16 1.554830 2.399649 3.728865 6.043574 10.127121 17.339289 31.779400
2025-03-23 1.512721 2.379902 3.775620 6.269388 10.801442 19.079431 36.326284
2025-03-30 1.424990 2.281036 3.687419 6.259696 11.063332 20.113764 39.681461
2025-04-06 1.337671 2.176305 3.580942 6.207445 11.240854 21.009944 42.900307
2025-04-13 1.209748 1.993248 3.325491 5.860234 10.817949 20.669557 43.385212
2025-04-20 1.153850 1.930541 3.275641 5.889645 11.132021 21.856649 47.480324
2025-04-27 1.126852 1.916296 3.310402 6.081692 11.791140 23.844696 53.783243
2025-05-04 1.089528 1.880583 3.302722 6.189334 12.286548 25.542151 59.690972
2025-05-11 1.050135 1.838138 3.278876 6.261653 12.713542 27.140729 65.644099
2025-05-18 1.012312 1.795854 3.251823 6.324210 13.124910 28.755620 71.946032
2025-05-25 0.948726 1.700914 3.116591 6.149449 12.986922 29.051336 74.700729
2025-06-01 0.901849 1.634879 3.033152 6.076879 13.073513 29.901058 79.176153
2025-06-08 0.856912 1.569840 2.947251 5.991572 13.121181 30.659577 83.533962